When concern stops tracking reality
nfpResearch co-Managing Director, Tim Harrison-Byrne, writes:
On 21 May, the ONS published its latest net migration estimate: 171,000 for the year ending December 2025. That is an 82% fall from the 2023 peak of 944,000. In our nfpIntelligence tracking, public concern about immigration has risen from 17% to 39% over the same period.
On climate, the pattern runs in reverse. Concern peaked at 40% in 2021 and has since fallen to 22%, while the evidence for a worsening climate has only strengthened.